HAPPY NEW YEAR! Welcome to the ArrowCreek monthly property value update for a High Desert, Semi-Rural community that happens to contain a PRIVATE Golf Course. Participation in the private golf club is purely optional for all interested parties. The financial diversity within the ArrowCreek community was put in place by the designer of the community and the county in 1997. It consists of 506 semi-custom homes, typically for middle and upper middle-income individuals, and 577 custom home sites, typically for upper middle and high net worth individuals, of which 437 custom homes have or are being built. As an observer can see, we are a very financially diverse community. This report contains the data that was available on 07 January from the Washoe County Assessor’s Records.
The vagaries of the housing market have definitely caught up with the ArrowCreek community. Only three (3) properties changed owners during this reporting period. This is a significant drop from the previous months and year-ago levels where we had three properties changing hands. Custom homes on the Golf Course (Non-Residential area) now exhibit a -7.7% negative premium to custom homes not on the course. In the meantime, Semi-Custom homes not on the course are virtually identical, price wise, to those abutting the course. This, of course, leads to the question of ‘What are the value propositions for ArrowCreek properties?’ Key ‘take-aways’ of these ‘facts’ are that smaller homes are selling better than larger homes and ArrowCreek owners have the option to join ‘The Club at ArrowCreek’ or not to join – an individual choice of freedom versus other gated communities. Furthermore, it appears that our ‘value proposition’ of being secure, family oriented, and with excellent schools, is not being recognized by the real estate community. Broader marketing should help the entire community with an emphasis on the use of the southeast connector.
ArrowCreek Home Owner Association (ACHOA) initiatives are underway to enhance sales and values (a most positive step). The initiatives include a Landscape Committee, which is looking into improving the water quality around our parkway to enhance the ‘greening’ of plantings, and a strategic planning initiative, which has yielded a concept that has received rave reviews. These initiatives are intended to enhance and maintain ArrowCreek as a premier people and family-oriented community collocated with a private golf club, identified as a Non-Residential area in the governing documents.
Since December of 2018 and over the past twelve (12) months:
1. ArrowCreek properties have stayed in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties. As you read this report, you will see that prices began to parallel each other after a spike in property values for properties on the golf course in the winter of 2019 that continued for the entire year. What this trend indicates is that homes in ArrowCreek appear to be settling into a growth pattern beginning in the $293 per square foot region. With only three properties in three neighborhoods changing hands this past month, there wasn’t a “hottest” neighborhood.
On with THE FACTS:
a.) Only three (3) properties were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 5 and 19 December (per the Washoe County Assessor, who appears to be current in closed sales). This brings the total number of properties transferred over the past rolling year to 73 or 6.7% turnover rate for our community. This remains a relatively low rate, still in the single digits, that may be attributed to a general satisfaction with living in our gated community and/or a positive perspective on our amenities and an emphasis on the secure stable environment offered within ArrowCreek.
b.) There weren’t any properties on the golf course (where the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it) were closed during this reporting period. The rolling average selling price for homes on the golf course now stands at $294.14 per square foot. There is no change in value from November’s value, based upon the statistical rolling average calculation. The 12-month rolling average sales price increased to $1,263,987.50, again based upon statistical methods. The rolling average selling price for undeveloped property on the golf course now stands at $295,636.54 per acre.
c.) The three (3) properties that were sold are not connected to the golf course. The rolling average selling price for off-course homes decreased to $292.98 per square foot, which is down by $1.97 per square foot. The twelve-month rolling average sales price for non-golf course homes increased to $1,131,998.98. One of these properties was a lot for development. The rolling 12-month average selling price for vacant land, not on the golf course, stands 15% below vacant golf course property at $256,511.29 per acre.
d.) The figure below shows the value trends over the past twelve months with the vertical scale being the cost per-square-foot.
2. Winter is here! The housing market has firmed significantly. Lenders are being very careful about approving mortgages. For those desiring a secure, safe environment to raise a family, ArrowCreek should not be overlooked.
Do keep in mind that everyone’s selling price is based upon his or her own set of circumstances and the above picture is hindsight, not necessarily foresight. Property impinging upon the Non-Residential area/golf course is currently drawing a -0.3% premium to property not impinging ‘the course.’ A balanced marketing approach focused on our amenities should go a long way toward creating a better environment for all homeowners and buyers.
Continuing with the Commentary from previous months: the author received queries about semi-custom and custom homes both on and off the golf course and their relative selling prices. The following chart portrays the trend lines for Custom and Semi-Custom homes within our community. This month Reno and Sparks trends are also represented.
For the past month the ArrowCreek averages are:
Semi-Custom On-Course: $259.09 per Square Foot
Semi-Custom Off-Course: $259.81 per Square Foot
Custom On-Course: $317.11 per Square Foot
Custom Off-Course: $341.75 per Square Foot
- We also received a request from one of our readers for a comparison of the ArrowCreek values with those in D’Andrea (Sparks market) and Somersett (Reno market). Having obtained the appropriate reports from the real estate community, here is what was learned. (Data extracted from altosresearch.com Chase International)
- Reno market ‘in general’ – Custom homes in Reno are selling, on average, for $307.62 per-square-foot (Median price $1,271,997) with an average of 224 days on the market. As noted above, you can see our ArrowCreek comparable custom homes are selling $9- 34 per-square-foot higher. Data for separate ArrowCreek average time on market was not available. Reno homes comparable to ArrowCreek semi-custom homes are selling for $241.02 per square-foot (Median price $651,947) with a time-on-market of 106 days. Again, ArrowCreek Semi-Custom home averages are around $18 higher per-square-foot. Median prices rose across the Reno market by 7.2% during the comparable past year while ArrowCreek combined average prices were 3.6% higher.
- Sparks market ‘in general’ – The top quartile in the Sparks market actually compares with the Semi-Custom homes in ArrowCreek. The median price for these Sparks homes is $192.65 per-square-foot (Median price $540,000) with an average of 105 days on the market. ArrowCreek Semi-Custom home averages are around $67 higher per-square-foot. Median prices rose across this market by 3.2% during the comparable past year. For the ArrowCreek community, the Semi-Custom homes rose 1.7%.
Commentary: ArrowCreek homes are definitely in the top two quartiles of Reno and the Semi-Custom homes are in the top quartile of Sparks. It is very apparent from the data that smaller homes are selling better than larger homes. Also apparent from the data is that the ‘private’ golf course (a.k.a The Non-Residential area) has little effect on prices because ArrowCreek homes are selling at roughly comparable non-gated community homes in the Truckee Meadows based upon real estate advertising.
Some owners of ArrowCreek believe they reside in a ‘golf community.’ Those words appear to emanate from those who have chosen to belong to the ‘private’ golf club. In their minds, it may be true; however, in fact, the truth is only a third of the homes are on the golf course and less than 50% of owners are actually members of ‘the club.’ Yes, we have a private golf club within our gated community, but we also enjoy the freedom to belong or not. The ‘value proposition’ for our unique community should continue to focus on attracting professionals who value security, good schools and recreational opportunities. More people will come to the ArrowCreek ‘experience’ as Nevada businesses gather top talent with competitive salaries.
By Ron Duncan
January 20, 2020
For previous postings of the ArrowCreek property value updates: click here.