This report with the May and part of June UPDATED ‘FACTS’ from the Washoe County Assessor Records ( yes, it’s amazing what happens when an election rolls around and lagging data is brought up to date) since last posted for May, 2018, in An ArrowCreek Property Value Update (May 2018 from Washoe County Assessor Records), shows that we have transitioned in the Spring/Summer buying/selling season in a BIG way with an additional nineteen (19) properties changing owners during this reporting period. This is up by 380% from last month. Custom Homes on the Golf Course (Non-residential area) now exhibit a 10.5% premium to custom homes not on the course. In the meantime, semi-custom homes continue to sell at about the same price regardless of their position in the community. This, of course, leads to the question of ‘The value proposition for ArrowCreek properties?’ One of the key ‘propositions’ is that ArrowCreek owners’ have the option to join ‘The Club at ArrowCreek’ or not to join. This is an individual choice of freedom not given other gated communities.

ArrowCreek Home Owner Association (ACHOA) initiatives are underway to enhance sales and values (a most positive step given the latest values). The initiatives include a Landscape Committee, which is looking into improving the water quality around our parkway to enhance the ‘greening’ of plantings, and a strategic planning initiative, which has yielded a concept that has received rave reviews. These initiatives are intended to enhance and maintain ArrowCreek as a premier people and family oriented community collocated with a private golf club, identified as a Non-Residential area in the governing documents.

Since May of 2018 and over the past twelve (12) months:

1. ArrowCreek properties have stayed in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties. As you read this report you will see that prices have improved for properties on the golf course with an average appreciation rate of 1.7% over this past year, while prices for homes not on the golf course have appreciated by 10.6% over the same period. With nineteen properties in fourteen different neighborhoods changing hands this past month, the “hottest” neighborhood was Painted Vista.

On with THE FACTS:

a.) Nineteen (19) properties were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 25 April and 21 June 2018 (per the Washoe County Assessor, who now appears to be current in closed sales.). This brings the total number of properties transferred over the past rolling year to 104 or 9.6% turn-over rate for our community. This remains a relatively low rate, still in the single digits, that may be attributed to a general satisfaction with living in our gated community and/or a positive perspective on our amenities and an emphasis on the secure stable environment offered within ArrowCreek.

b.) Two (2) properties on the golf course (where the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it) were closed during this reporting period. The rolling average selling price for homes on the golf course now stands at $292.02 per square foot. This is an increase of $1.19 per square foot from May’s value, based solely upon the statistical rolling average calculation. The 12-month rolling average sales price decreased to $1,159,925.93, again based upon statistical methods. One additional lot on the course was sold. The rolling average selling price for undeveloped property on the golf course now stands at $256,599.80 per acre a decrease of $114.22 per acre.

c.) Seventeen (17) properties were sold that are not connected to the golf course. The rolling average selling price for off course homes increased to $264.23 per square foot, which is up by $1.86 per square foot. The twelve-month rolling average sales price for non-golf course homes increased to $893,195.03. Three (3) additional lots were sold during this reporting period. The rolling 12-month average selling price for vacant land, not on the golf course, stands 29.6% below vacant golf course property at $198,060.98 per acre.

d.) The figure below shows the value trends over the past twelve months with the vertical scale being cost per square-foot.

2. The housing market in Northern Nevada for existing homes continues to follow economic trends. We continue to see a boost to our unique community with the Summer selling season underway.

Do keep in mind that everyone’s selling price is based upon their own set of circumstances and the above picture is hindsight, not necessarily foresight. From the sheer volume of property transfers during this reporting period it is clear that the demand for a secure property environment is strong. A balanced marketing approach should focus on improving the amenities we currently have and build out those that were in the original ArrowCreek/Southwest Pointe development plan by using our already available acreage and funding. With that we should see a better environment for all home owners and buyers.

Continuing with the Commentary from previous months: the author received queries about semi-custom and custom homes both on and off the golf course and their relative selling prices. The author’s concern was that there wouldn’t be a significant enough turn-over sample to give a meaningful value. However, with that caveat presented, the following statistics are updated and portrayed in the following chart:

For the past month the averages are:
Semi-Custom On-Course: $239.82 per Square Foot
Semi-Custom Off-Course: $243.16 per Square Foot
Custom On-Course: $327.90 per Square Foot
Custom Off-Course: $291.55 per Square Foot

We also received a request from one of our readers for comparison of the ArrowCreek values with those in D’Andrea (Sparks market) and Somersett (Reno market). Having obtained the appropriate reports from the real estate community, here is what was learned. (Data extracted from altosresearch.com Chase International)

• Reno market ‘in general’ – Custom homes in Reno are selling, on average, for $264.30 per square-foot (Median price $1,034,750) with an average of 168 days on the market. As noted above, you can see our ArrowCreek comparable custom homes are selling $22- 64per square-foot higher. Data for separate ArrowCreek average time on market was not available. Reno homes comparable to ArrowCreek semi-custom homes are selling for $210.32 per square-foot (Median price $528,944) with a time on market of 24 days. Again, ArrowCreek semi-custom home averages are around $30 – 36 higher per square foot. Median prices rose across the Reno market by 8.4% during the comparable past year while ArrowCreek combined average prices were only 9.6% higher. Perhaps the increase in value was not as fast in ArrowCreek because the homes are already higher values in the first place.
• Sparks market ‘in general’ – The top quartile in the Sparks market actually compares with the semi-custom homes in ArrowCreek. The medium price for these Sparks homes is $192.78 per square-foot (Median price $589,900) with an average of 72 days on the market. Median prices rose across this market by 11.7% during the comparable past year. For the ArrowCreek community, the semi-custom homes rose 7.3%.

Commentary: ArrowCreek homes are definitely in the top two quartiles of Reno and the semi-custom homes are in the top quartile of Sparks. The ‘value proposition’ for our unique community should continue to focus on professionals who value security, good schools and recreational opportunities. More people will come to the ArrowCreek ‘experience’ as Nevada businesses gather top talent with competitive salaries.

By Ron Duncan
June 26, 2018

For previous postings of the ArrowCreek property value updates: click here.