ArrowCreek411

Here is the report for the August UPDATED ‘FACTS’ from the Washoe County Assessor Records since July 27, 2016 posting. Since the beginning of the year and over the past twelve (12) months:

1. ArrowCreek properties continue to sell in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties as previously reported. However, as you read this report you will see that prices have definitely improved for properties on the golf course while prices for non-custom homes not on the golf course have continued to decline over the past month.

a.) Six (6) properties were were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 8 July and 8 August 2016 (According to the Washoe County Assessor), holding steady in the low double digits. This brings the total number of properties transferred this calendar year to 54 and over the past twelve months to 87 or 8.0% turn-over rate for our community. A relatively low rate, still in the single digits, that may be attributed to a general satisfaction with living in our gated community.

b.) Three (3) of the properties were on the golf course (the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it). Two (2) were homes that sold for 78% above, while the third property sold for 4.6% below the rolling 12 month average for July of $890,825. However, the true selling price, again measured over the past twelve months, increased to $246.18 per square foot. An increase of $8.71 per square foot from July’s value. No additional lots, on the course, were sold. The average selling price for undeveloped property on the golf course still stands at $290,418.52 per acre for the 12 month rolling average.

c.) Three (3) properties were sold that are not connected to the golf course. One (1) home sold below the rolling average for July. This drove the declining rolling average further below the golf course property values with the average price dropping to $227.81 per square foot. As a consequence, the average price dropped by $2.27 per square foot or a continuing 1% decrease from the July value. The sales price 12 month rolling average was $819,438. Two (2) undeveloped lots were transferred during this time period. The rolling 12 month average selling price stands at $185,529.87 per acre, an increase of 7.3% over the past month.

d.) ArrowCreek homes have moved to a market rate that remains above that for Damonte Ranch and D’Andrea. So the rise in values appears to reflect the desirability of living within our community.

e.) There were four lots sold but a premium remains if the lot has a common boundary with the golf course (56%). This value between the two categories, in general, appears to be following market trends. However, there’s little explanation for the $104,888 per acre difference between the vacant lot purchase prices, as the difference does not show up in the closing home sales prices. However, it is worth noting that there are a very limited number of ‘golf course’ lots versus those not on the golf course.

f.) As charted in the figure below, the trends for our property values indicate that over the past twelve months of tracking, the values of homes off the golf course have declined at a fairly consistent rate. In the meantime, homes on the golf course have appreciated significantly over the past year. It’s also clear from the chart below that ArrowCreek had a ‘soft patch’ between November and April that continued for homes not on the golf course thru May. The market continues to strengthen and that bodes well for our community.

2. The housing market in Northern Nevada for existing homes continues to follow economic trends. As the fall selling season is upon us, perhaps we are definitely seeing a boost to our unique community.

Going forward let’s focus our energy on improving the amenities we currently have and build out those that were in the original ArrowCreek/Southwest Point development plan, by using our already available acreage and funding. With that we should see a better environment for all home owners and buyers.

If you wish to support The Club at ArrowCreek, you are urged to become a either a full golf or social member. In addition, the FOA LLC is certainly open to new investors.

By Ron Duncan

Updated from the July 27, 2016 posting of the July Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the June 20, 2016 posting of the June Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the May 27, 2016 posting May Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the April 27, 2016 posting April Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the March 25, 2016 posting March Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the Feb 24, 2016 posting February Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Jan 21, 2016 posting January Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Dec 22, 2015 posting December Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Nov 22, 2015 posting November Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Oct 19, 2015 posting October Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Sept 21, 2015 posting September Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Aug 22, 2015 posting August Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the July 27, 2015 posting July Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 26, 2015 posting June Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 4, 2015 posting You Want Facts: Here Are Facts.

June 2015 Study on Golf Course Closure Impacts On Home Values in Northgate and D’Andrea.

Here is the report for the July UPDATED ‘FACTS’ from the Washoe County Assessor Records since June 20, 2016 posting. Since the beginning of the year and over the past twelve (12) months:

1. ArrowCreek properties continue to sell in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties as previously reported. However, as you read this report you will see that prices have definitely improved during the past month for properties within our community, especially those on the golf course.

a.) Ten (10) properties were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 23 June and 8 July 2016 (According to the Washoe County Assessor), holding steady in the low double digits. This brings the total number of properties transferred this calendar year to 48 and over the past twelve months to 89 or 8.2% turn-over rate for our community. A relatively low rate, still in the single digits, that may be attributed to a general satisfaction with living in our gated community.

b.) Five (5) of the properties were on the golf course (the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it). Two (2) were homes that sold for 23% less than the rolling 12 month average for June of $930,498. However, the true selling price, again measured over the past twelve months, increased to$237.47 per square foot. An increase of $.72 per square foot from June’s value. Three lots, on the course, were sold with one lot commanding a premium price, circa 2005, of $414,230.00 per acre. The average selling price for undeveloped property on the golf course now stands at $290,418.52 per acre for the 12 month rolling average.

c.) Five (5) properties were sold that are not connected to the golf course since the June report. This proportion is in line with the number of properties ‘on the course’ versus those ‘not on the course.’ Four (4) homes sold above the rolling average for June. However, the rolling average actually declined as older data was deleted from the calculation and the average price dropped to $230.08 per square foot. As a consequence of this statistical change the average dropped by $2.90 per square foot or a 1.2% decrease from the June value. The sales price 12 month rolling average was $823,731. One undeveloped lot was transferred during this time period. The rolling 12 month average selling price stands at $172,847.53 per acre.

d.) ArrowCreek homes have moved to a market rate that remains above that for Demonte Ranch and D’Andrea. So the rise in values appears to reflect the desirability of living within our community.

e.) There were four lots sold but a premium remains if the lot has a common boundary with the golf course (68%). This value between the two categories, in general, appears to be following market trends. However, there’s little explanation for the $117,571 per acre difference between the vacant lot purchase prices, as the difference does not show up in the closing home sales prices. However, it is worth noting that there are a very limited number of ‘golf course’ lots versus those not on the golf course.

f.) As charted in the figure below, the trends for our property values indicate that over the past twelve months of tracking, the values of homes off the golf course have declined at a fairly consistent rate. In the meantime, homes on the golf course have appreciated significantly over the past year. It’s also clear from the chart below that ArrowCreek had a ‘soft patch’ between November and April that continued for homes not on the golf course thru May. The market continues to strengthen and that bodes well for our community.

2. The housing market in Northern Nevada for existing homes continues to follow economic trends. As the fall selling season is upon us, perhaps we are definitely seeing a boost to our unique community.

Going forward let’s focus our energy on improving the amenities we currently have and build out those that were in the original ArrowCreek/Southwest Point development plan, by using our already available acreage and funding. With that we should see a better environment for all home owners and buyers.

If you wish to support The Club at ArrowCreek, you are urged to become a either a full golf or social member. In addition, the FOA LLC is certainly open to new investors.

By Ron Duncan

Updated from the July 27, 2016 posting of the June 20, 2016 Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the May 27, 2016 posting May Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the April 27, 2016 posting April Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the March 25, 2016 posting March Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the Feb 24, 2016 posting February Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Jan 21, 2016 posting January Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Dec 22, 2015 posting December Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Nov 22, 2015 posting November Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Oct 19, 2015 posting October Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Sept 21, 2015 posting September Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Aug 22, 2015 posting August Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the July 27, 2015 posting July Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 26, 2015 posting June Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 4, 2015 posting You Want Facts: Here Are Facts.

June 2015 Study on Golf Course Closure Impacts On Home Values in Northgate and D’Andrea.

This report is a little late to publication due to some intervening medical issues. However, we’re all back in harness and have some terrific data to report. Without further ado here are the June UPDATED ‘FACTS’ from the Washoe County Assessor Records since the May 24, 2016 posting. Since the beginning of the year:

1. ArrowCreek properties continue to sell in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties as previously reported. However, as you read this report you will see that prices have definitely improved during the past month for properties within our community, both on the golf course and off the golf course.’

a.) Eleven (11) properties were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 13 May and 21 June 2016 (According to the Washoe County Assessor), up from 7 in our previous report. This brings the total number of properties transferred this calendar year to 38 and over the past twelve months to 82 or 7.6%. A relatively low turn-over rate, still in the single digits, that may be attributed to a general satisfaction with living in our gated community.

b.) Three (3) of the properties were on the golf course (the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it). Two (2) were homes that sold for 17% less than the rolling 12 month average for May of $942,738. However, the true selling price, again measured over the past twelve months, decreased to$236.95 per square foot. A slight decrease of $.34 per square foot from May’s value. An additional lot, on the course, was sold for $170,616 per acre. The average selling price for undeveloped property on the golf course now stands at $235,087.41 per acre for the 12 month rolling average.

c.) Eight (8) properties were sold that are not connected to the golf course since the May report. This proportion is in line with the number of properties ‘on the course’ versus those ‘not on the course.’ Six (6) homes sold above the rolling average, while one (1) sold significantly below the average. As a consequence, the average selling price of $232.98 per square foot reflected a definite upward trend of $6.29 per square foot or a 2.8% increase from the May value. The sales price 12 month rolling average was $806,685. One undeveloped lot was transferred during this time period. The rolling 12 month average selling price stands at $176,674.72 per acre.

d.) ArrowCreek homes have moved to a market rate that remains above that for Demonte Ranch and D’Andrea. So the rise in values appears to reflect the desirability of living within our community.

e.) There were two lots sold but a premium remains if the lot has a common boundary with the golf course (33%). This value between the two categories, in general, appears to be following market trends. However, there’s little explanation for the $58,412 per acre difference between the vacant lot purchase prices, as the difference does not show up in the closing home sales prices. However, it is worth noting that there are a very limited number of ‘golf course’ lots versus those not on the golf course.

f.) The trends for our property values indicate that over the past twelve months of tracking, the values of homes off the golf course were fairly stable, with the gap between homes on and off the course showing a decreased margin. It’s clear from the chart below that ArrowCreek had a ‘soft patch’ between February and April that continued for homes not on the golf course thru May. With spring sales all of our values have risen above those of a year ago. The market continues to strengthen and that bodes well for our community.

2. The housing market in Northern Nevada for existing homes continues to follow economic trends. As the spring selling season is upon us, perhaps we are definitely seeing a boost to our unique community.

Going forward let’s focus our energy on improving the amenities we currently have and build out those that were in the original ArrowCreek/Southwest Point development plan, by using our already available acreage and funding. With that we should see a better environment for all home owners and buyers.

If you wish to support The Club at ArrowCreek, you are urged to become a either a full golf or social member. In addition, the FOA LLC is certainly open to new investors.

By Ron Duncan

Updated from the May 20, 2016 posting May Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records

Updated from the April 27, 2016 posting April Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the March 25, 2016 posting March Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the Feb 24, 2016 posting February Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Jan 21, 2016 posting January Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Dec 22, 2015 posting December Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Nov 22, 2015 posting November Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Oct 19, 2015 posting October Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Sept 21, 2015 posting September Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Aug 22, 2015 posting August Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the July 27, 2015 posting July Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 26, 2015 posting June Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 4, 2015 posting You Want Facts: Here Are Facts.

June 2015 Study on Golf Course Closure Impacts On Home Values in Northgate and D’Andrea.

Here are the May UPDATED ‘FACTS’ from the Washoe County Assessor Records since the April 24, 2016 posting. Since the beginning of the year:

1. ArrowCreek properties continue to sell in the premium class within Washoe and Douglas Counties as previously reported. However, as you read this report you will see that prices have definitely softened for properties not on the golf course and rebounded further for those that are ‘on the course.’

a.) Seven (7) properties were recorded sold in ArrowCreek between 21 April and 11 May 2016 (According to the Washoe County Assessor). This brings the total number of properties transferred this calendar year to 27 and over the past twelve months to 78 or 7.2%. A low turn-over rate, still in the single digits that may reflect a general softening of the real estate market.

b.) Two (2) of the properties were on the golf course (the property boundaries actually touch the golf course, not just have a ‘view’ of it). Both were homes that sold for 29% more than the rolling 12 month average of $907,644. So, the true selling price, again measured over the past twelve months, increased significantly to $237.09 229.00 per square foot. An increase of $8.09 per square foot, a 3.5% increase from April’s value. No additional lots on the course were sold. The average selling price now stands at $256,577.85 per acre for the 12 month rolling average.

c.) Five (5) properties were sold that are not connected to the golf course since the April report. Two homes sold above the rolling average, while the other two sold significantly below the average. Thus, the average selling price of $226.69 228.66 per square foot reflected a continuing downward trend of $1.97 per square foot or 0.9%. The sales price 12 month rolling average was $800,179. One undeveloped lot was transferred during this time period. The rolling 12 month average selling price stands at $193,329.43 per acre.

d.) Homes that do not have a boundary with the golf course have moved to a market rate that remains above that for Demonte Ranch and D’Andrea. So the sudden rise of values on the golf course could be an aberration or it could well portend a rise for custom homes in general. Values continue to follow the market trends where upper end home values are trending downward and stay on the market for an extended period of time (this is true in both the Washoe and Douglas county markets).

e.) There was one lot sold but a premium remains if the lot has a common boundary with the golf course. This value between the two categories, in general, appears to be following market trends. However, there’s little explanation for the $63,248 per acre difference between the vacant lot purchase prices, as the difference does not show up in the closing home sales prices. However, it is worth noting that there are a very limited number of ‘golf course’ lots versus those not on the golf course.

f.) The trends for our property values indicate that over the past twelve months of tracking, the values of homes off the golf course were fairly stable, with the gap between homes on and off the course showing a decreased margin. It should be noted that with this latest data set, homes not on the golf course have declined below the value of a year ago. Homes on the golf course continue to be above the year ago values.

2. From the chart it’s pretty clear that home values for homes not on the golf course in ArrowCreek have been declining since last August. Homes on the course were also in decline for the same period; however, the May data indicates a change in trend. The housing market in Northern Nevada for existing homes continues to follow the economic trends. As the spring selling season is upon us, perhaps we’ll see a boost to our unique community.

Going forward let’s focus our energy on improving the amenities we currently have and build out those that were in the original ArrowCreek/Southwest Point development plan, by using our already available acreage and funding. With that we should see a better environment for all home owners and buyers.

If you wish to support The Club at ArrowCreek, you are urged to become a either a full golf or social member. In addition, the FOA LLC is certainly open to new investors.

By Ron Duncan

Updated from the April 27, 2016 posting April 24, 2016 posting…

…which updates the March 25, 2016 posting March Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

…which updates the Feb 24, 2016 posting February Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Jan 21, 2016 posting January Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Dec 22, 2015 posting December Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Nov 22, 2015 posting November Fact Update From the Washoe County Assessor Records…

… which updates the Oct 19, 2015 posting October Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Sept 21, 2015 posting September Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

… which updates the Aug 22, 2015 posting August Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the July 27, 2015 posting July Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 26, 2015 posting June Fact Update: Here Are Facts…

…which updates the June 4, 2015 posting You Want Facts: Here Are Facts.

June 2015 Study on Golf Course Closure Impacts On Home Values in Northgate and D’Andrea.